Liverpool in BIG transfer trouble as squad value PLUMMETS

Carlo Garganese

• Updated: 13 Mar 2025 05:39 CDT
• 3 min read

Contracts matter. They can be the difference between cashing in on a player at peak value or watching them walk away for free.

So, which clubs have played it smart, and who’s facing a potential squad overhaul? Using our Estimated Transfer Value (ETV) model, we analyze the contract risk profiles of Premier League clubs.

Liverpool’s looming problem

Liverpool fans might want to look away because no club faces a bigger contract headache than the Reds. A massive 58% of their squad’s ETV is set to expire by 2027 but, more importantly, a significant 22% is at risk in less than 18 months.

While Trent Alexander-Arnold, Virgil van Dijk, and Mohamed Salah could leave for nothing this summer, even the likes of Ibrahima Konaté and Andy Robertson are edging toward uncertainty.

After rebuilding their midfield last season, the club once again finds itself in a painful transition where they need to reinforce the squad while ensuring key assets don’t depart for far less than their true worth.

Who Else Should Be Worried?

Everton have 34% of their squad’s ETV at risk by 2026. The Toffees are no strangers to financial headaches, and this situation only adds to their worries. Unless they act fast, they risk losing valuable assets for next to nothing.

Brentford and Crystal Palace also find themselves in dangerous territory, with contracts ticking down and a potential exodus of value over the next two years.

Chelsea the Most Secure, United, Bournemouth, and Spurs Follow

Chelsea have taken a long-term approach to contract management, with a massive 85% of their squad’s ETV tied down until 2027 or beyond. That’s the Boehly method in action—whether you love it or loathe it, Chelsea’s players aren’t going anywhere unless the club decides otherwise.

By locking elite young talents into ultra-long deals, they’ve spread transfer fees across more years to comply with financial regulations. Whether it translates to success on the pitch remains to be seen.

Bournemouth, Tottenham, and Manchester United are also well-positioned, with a significant portion of their squad value secured until 2027 and beyond.

But this is a double-edged sword for United. While their contracts are secure, players like Jadon Sancho, Antony, and Casemiro — who are out of new manager Ruben Amorim’s plans — are also locked into long-term deals. Moving on expensive assets on high wages is a whole different kind of challenge.

What Does This Mean for the Summer Window?

For clubs like Liverpool, Everton, and Brentford, the clock is ticking. Decisions need to be made fast — extend, sell, or risk losing valuable assets for free.

Meanwhile, Chelsea and Manchester United have their own problems. Their contracts are secure, but are these the right players to be locked into long-term deals? Stability is good, but flexibility is better, and these clubs might need to move on some players and find the balance.